Underreported

Significant disasters from the last 14 days — GDACS Orange/Red alerts and M5.5+ earthquakes — and armed-conflict events from the last two months, each beside the measured news-coverage response of the affected country (coverage share after the event vs the country's own two-week baseline). The attention gap, quantified: severity is not a judgment, and neither is silence — but both are measurable.

EventCountryAlertCoverage response
M 6.6 - 80 km ENE of Tadine, New CaledoniaEarthquake · Sep 25 · USGS—M 6.6no data
M 6.4 - 49 km NNE of Kainantu, Papua New GuineaEarthquake · Sep 20 · USGSPapua New GuineaM 6.4-5% · muted
M 5.9 - 39 km WSW of Tambolaka, IndonesiaEarthquake · Oct 3 · USGSIndonesiaM 5.9+2%
M 5.8 - 165 km SSE of Vilyuchinsk, RussiaEarthquake · Oct 2 · USGSRussiaM 5.8-9%
M 5.7 - south of AfricaEarthquake · Sep 20 · USGS—M 5.7no data
M 5.7 - 180 km NW of Hihifo, TongaEarthquake · Sep 23 · USGSTongaM 5.7+36%
M 5.6 - 72 km ESE of Kokopo, Papua New GuineaEarthquake · Sep 26 · USGSPapua New GuineaM 5.6-34%
M 5.6 - 74 km S of Yonakuni, JapanEarthquake · Sep 30 · USGSJapanM 5.6-4%
M 5.6 - 94 km SW of Tamarindo, Costa RicaEarthquake · Sep 30 · USGSCosta RicaM 5.6-11%
M 5.6 - 80 km S of Banda Aceh, IndonesiaEarthquake · Oct 3 · USGSIndonesiaM 5.6+2%
M 5.5 - 35 km NNE of Ruteng, IndonesiaEarthquake · Sep 21 · USGSIndonesiaM 5.5-12%
M 5.5 - 61 km ENE of Tadine, New CaledoniaEarthquake · Sep 25 · USGS—M 5.5no data
M 5.5 - southern Mid-Atlantic RidgeEarthquake · Sep 29 · USGS—M 5.5no data
Red notification for tropical cyclone POLO-26. Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 0.222 million .Tropical cyclone · Sep 21 · GDACSMexicoRed+1% · muted
Orange notification for tropical cyclone ONE-26. Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 0 (10.248 million in Tropical Storm).Tropical cyclone · Sep 22 · GDACSIndiaOrange-11%

Armed conflict

Conflicts from the last two months with an estimated 20 or more deaths, grouped by warring parties (UCDP codes each incident separately; UCDP preliminary “candidate” data, revised in later releases), beside the same measured coverage response. Research has long shown this is where the attention gap runs deepest: US networks have covered under 5% of African disasters versus over 15% of European ones, and it takes roughly 45× the deaths in Africa to draw equal coverage (Eisensee & Strömberg, QJE 2007).

EventCountryDeaths (best est.)Coverage response
Government of Russia vs Government of Ukrainestate-based · 33 events · Jul 21 – Aug 31 · Donetsk oblast, Kharkiv oblast, Kyiv oblast +4 moreUkraine5,286145 civilian-3% · muted
Government of Yemen vs Forces of the Presidential Leadership Councilstate-based · 28 events · Jul 22 – Aug 29 · Dali governorate, Taiz governorate, Marib governorate +4 moreYemen1,25119 civilian+31%
Unidentified group vs Unidentified groupstate-based · 11 events · Jul 22 – Aug 25 · Zamfara state, Kebbi state, Niger state +1 moreNigeria3545 civilian-5% · muted
Government of Sudan vs SFAstate-based · 17 events · Jul 21 – Aug 27 · North Darfur state, Blue Nile state, North Kordofan state +1 moreSudan305250 civilian-1% · muted
Government of Pakistan vs TTPstate-based · 23 events · Jul 22 – Aug 31 · Balochistan province, Khyber Pakhtunkwa provincePakistan30211 civilian+3% · muted
Government of Nigeria vs ISstate-based · 12 events · Jul 21 – Aug 28 · Borno state, Yobe state, Adamawa stateNigeria187+5% · muted
Government of Pakistan vs BRASstate-based · 25 events · Jul 23 – Aug 31 · Balochistan provincePakistan184+7% · muted
IS vs Civiliansone-sided · 12 events · Jul 21 – Aug 29 · Nord Kivu province, Ituri province, Haut-Uélé provinceDemocratic Republic of the Congo155155 civilian-18% · muted
Unidentified group vs Civiliansone-sided · 9 events · Jul 23 – Aug 30 · Zamfara state, Kaduna state, Niger state +2 moreNigeria133133 civilian+3% · muted
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaabstate-based · 13 events · Jul 21 – Aug 29 · Hiran region, Middle Shabelle region, Lower Shabelle region +1 moreSomalia130+0% · muted
Government of Ethiopia vs Fanostate-based · 10 events · Jul 27 – Aug 18 · Amhara state, Benishangul-Gumuz state, Oromiya stateEthiopia12812 civilian+15% · muted
Unidentified group vs Unidentified groupnon-state · 8 events · Jul 27 – Aug 25 · Zamfara state, Benue state, Niger state +2 moreNigeria1135 civilian-1% · muted
Unidentified group vs Unidentified groupnon-state · 2 events · Aug 9 – Aug 27 · Warap stateSouth Sudan109-25% · muted
Government of Mali vs JNIMstate-based · 4 events · Jul 26 – Aug 9 · Segou region, Koulikoro region, Tombouctou region +1 moreMali857 civilian+6% · muted
Government of Burkina Faso vs JNIMstate-based · 8 events · Jul 21 – Aug 25 · Tapoa region, Sourou region, Soum region +1 moreBurkina Faso831 civilian+3% · muted
Viv Ansanm vs Civiliansone-sided · 4 events · Jul 31 – Aug 23 · Ouest departmentHaiti6720 civilian+21% · muted
Government of Ethiopia vs Civiliansone-sided · 4 events · Aug 18 – Aug 21 · Oromiya stateEthiopia6666 civilian+9% · muted
Unidentified group vs Unidentified groupstate-based · 6 events · Jul 24 – Aug 16 · Balochistan province, Khyber Pakhtunkwa provincePakistan58+16% · muted
Government of Burkina Faso vs Civiliansone-sided · 2 events · Aug 5 · Liptako regionBurkina Faso4848 civilian-27% · muted
Government of Niger vs ISstate-based · 3 events · Jul 24 – Aug 21 · Tillabéri region, Dosso regionNiger467 civilian-2% · muted
Government of Ethiopia vs TPLFstate-based · 2 events · Aug 1 – Aug 10 · Tigray stateEthiopia453 civilian+23% · muted
Government of Nigeria vs Forces of Abasu Aikistate-based · Jul 26 · Katsina stateNigeria41+9% · muted
Government of Ethiopia vs OLAstate-based · 2 events · Jul 28 – Aug 21 · Oromiya stateEthiopia40+24% · muted
Government of Somalia vs Forces of Laftagareenstate-based · Aug 17 · Bay regionSomalia40+33%
Government of Israel vs Hamasstate-based · 4 events · Jul 21 – Aug 19 · Gaza StripIsrael377 civilian-3% · muted
Government of Myanmar vs ULAstate-based · 4 events · Aug 1 – Aug 24 · Rakhine state, Chin stateMyanmar3535 civilian-9% · muted
Government of Myanmar vs SCEFstate-based · 4 events · Jul 25 – Aug 21 · Bago region, Kayah state, Sagaing regionMyanmar3434 civilian+16% · muted
IS vs JASnon-state · 2 events · Jul 26 – Aug 3 · Borno stateNigeria34+4% · muted
Government of Nigeria vs Forces of Bello Turjistate-based · Aug 28 · Sokoto stateNigeria30+14% · muted
Government of Mozambique vs ISstate-based · 3 events · Jul 23 – Aug 1 · Cabo Delgado provinceMozambique28-11% · muted
Government of DR Congo vs AFCstate-based · 2 events · Aug 7 – Aug 27 · Sud Kivu provinceDemocratic Republic of the Congo285 civilian-13% · muted
Government of Yemen vs Forces of the Presidential Leadership Councilstate-based · Jul 29Iraq26+39%
Government of Afghanistan vs ISstate-based · Aug 16 · Nangarhar provinceAfghanistan25-18% · muted
Fulani vs Mwaghavulnon-state · Aug 17 · Plateau stateNigeria25-6% · muted
Government of Nigeria vs Forces of Isiya Kwashen Garwastate-based · Aug 18 · Katsina stateNigeria24-9% · muted
Government of Pakistan vs IMPstate-based · 3 events · Aug 2 – Aug 21 · Khyber Pakhtunkwa provincePakistan20+21% · muted
Government of Russia vs Government of Ukrainestate-based · 3 events · Aug 8 · Kursk oblast, Belgorod oblastRussia20+9% · muted
Fulani vs Kambarinon-state · Aug 12 · Niger stateNigeria20-8% · muted

Local voices

Recent reporting from Global Voices, whose contributors translate local and citizen media that international wires rarely carry — a qualitative counterpart to the gap measured above.

Headlines by Global Voices, licensed CC BY 3.0.

Disaster events from GDACS (UN/EC) and USGS. Conflict events and fatality estimates from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (GED); candidate data is preliminary and revised in later releases, and “best estimate” is UCDP's most conservative documented count. Coverage response = mean coverage share of the affected country from the event day onward vs its trailing 14-day baseline — see methodology. A “muted” marker means a severe event whose coverage response stayed under +25%. Derived data CC BY 4.0 (“Geotone / GDELT”).

One honest limit: we measure coverage, so we can expose stories the world's press underweights — but where no outlet reported at all, our numbers are silent too. Mortality surveys routinely find tolls in under-covered conflicts far above anything that ever reached the news.